As I See It: Boss Hardigan
As part of a new running feature, each Friday one franchise owner will have the opportunity to write whatever they want in this space. This week’s columnist is the long suffering Boss Hardigan. Big Boss, take it away….
Maybe after two weeks I don’t quite see it, or get it. You know what I’m talking about right? Well, if you are one of those two profitable teams in the top 93rd percentile of franchises in FMFL after two weeks I assume they see “it” or get “it.” The other 25 franchises are left scraping up loose change and borrowing out of debt to make this week’s bets. Those teams need to re-focus and perhaps revise their strategies before digging themselves too deep of a hole they cannot climb out of.
I am more or less, referring to those Vegas lines, odds, or spreads. How do they seem to get to a majority of gamblers/suckers every week? Who makes the spreads? More importantly, how are they almost always spot on? Almost every franchise fell victim to a Vegas trap game last week.
Those games included underdogs such as Detroit, Chicago, St. Louis, SF, and KC all covering in Week 2. Many choosing the favorite thinking for example, “No way Detroit even comes close to covering against Philly.” Those silly covers, as I call them, can put the blame on other factors such as broken or demolished furniture, accelerated hair loss, and alcoholism.
As I see it, the human thought process tends to lean towards picking favorites, giving them the benefit of the doubt assuming they are the better team and can more easily cover than the underdog getting points. Take a look at last week’s outcomes as the underdogs won eight games against the spread and favorites won seven, with one push.
My theories are pretty much ass-backwards to start this season, as I used to think that it is best to take advantage of Vegas early on in the season. Thinking that they are working with the same information we are. The odds early on this season haven’t been large, yet some dogs that most of us are picking to lose are deciding that they want to win against the spread. Vegas is clearly on the ball to start the 2010 NFL season. How it goes from here is anyone’s guess.
One must think, though, do the early signs point to dogs continuing to cover at a high rate for the rest of the year? Who knows? But as I see it, that’s why Vegas stays in business and we keep coming back for more.
